At various dates in the run up to the next United Kingdom general election, various organisations have carried out opinion polling to gauge the opinions that voters hold towards political leaders. Keir Starmer has been urged to intervene in the selection process for a Labour target "red wall" seat, after a leading candidate who had the support of eight trade unions was blocked from . And Ipsos MORI has Starmer 13 points ahead, while other pollsters also show him outperforming his party. Only 29% of voters think Sir Keir looks like a prime minister in waiting, including 48% of people who voted Labour in 2019's general election. When Starmer was running for leader, many of his supporters expressed how important it was that he looked like a prime-minister-in . LONDON Keir Starmer wants big business to "mold" Labour's election plans and get its "fingerprints" on his policy agenda. The fact weve climbed out of the hole we were in was never a given. Latest news, analysis and comment from POLITICOs editors and guest writers in Europe. Keir Starmer was rewarded for his "strategic patience", according to an ally, when . Starmer had begun the year in a strong position, ready for the next leg of the long march up Labours electoral mountain. LONDON Keir Starmer wants big business to mold Labours election plans and get its fingerprints on his policy agenda. For many, he is also indelibly linked to other New Labour cash scandals, including a rowover a watered-down advertising banfor Formula 1 just after F1 boss Bernie Ecclestone gave millions to the party. The poll also found voters backing Keir Starmer over Rishi Sunak. Keir Starmers wait-it-out approach may finally be beginning to pay dividends, two and a half years after he was elected Labour leader. Opinion polls show Labour with an average 8% lead over the Conservatives. Close Blair ally and media entrepreneur Waheed Alli has been appointed by Starmer as the partys head of election fundraising. Different polling companies report widely differing figures on this question, but even Savanta ComRes, long the least favourable to Starmer, now has him two points ahead of Johnson when people are asked: Which of the following do you think would make the best prime minister? Starmer on 33 per cent and Johnson on 31 per cent are both eclipsed by dont know on 36 per cent, but politics is a game of relative advantage. Leader of the British Labour Party, Keir Starmer, says that if nothing changes, Great Britain's GDP per capita would be lower than that of Poland in 7 years, and that of Hungary and Romania in 17 years. "Any opposition would be struggling against a government riding the success of the vaccine rollout and the last time the government's approval figures for the pandemic were this positive the Conservatives held a 17 point lead. And, in a further nod to the business-friendly New Labour days of the 1990s and 2000s, hes even tapping Tony Blairs moneymen to fund his bid for power. To find out more information about this research, As Sunak Heralds Protocol Deal, Majority of British Voters Remain Indifferent to Northern Ireland, Plurality of Britons Support Teachers Going on Strike, Latest Blue Wall Voting Intention (26 February 2023), Latest GB Voting Intention (26 February 2023), Britons and Americans Have Similar Views on Recent Chinese Spy Balloon Controversy, Britons Support Governments Ukraine Policy, But More Urgency on Domestic Challenges Needed, the announcement of a deal with the European Union, Sunak and Starmer Monthly Polling Report Card (February 2023), Joe Biden Administration Approval Ratings and Hypothetical Voting Intention (19 February 2023), Latest Red Wall Voting Intention (19 February 2023), Latest GB Voting Intention (18 February 2023), Peter Obi Leads Decisively in Nigeria Polling, Latest Blue Wall Voting Intention (11-12 February 2023). Ipsos publishes the latest results of UK opinion polls and voting intention. Start your Independent Premium subscription today. 2 March 2023. Estimated Reading Time: 3-5 minutes. ', asks Mark Dolan. SIR Keir Starmer has seen his ranking plunge in the polls after a terrible fortnight of bungles. One member of Labours National Executive Committee (NEC), the partys ruling body, said Alli is a high net worth individual himself which will make quite a difference when he needs to tap people up to say Im giving money, you need to as well.'. Rishi Sunak branded Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer 'Mr 2nd Referendum' as he told the 1922 Committee of backbench Tories that the public are sick of Brexit 'drama'. Sunak was on top of the detail. More broadly, this will be central to boosting the nations productivity going forward. Voices Keir Starmer can afford to be polite to Liz Truss for one key reason - he knows he is winning. Poll says 56% of people think . In the aftermath of the Autumn Budget, I imagine these numbers will be a relief to Starmer and his team. Its serious people making a serious contribution to leveling the playing field with the Conservatives, they said. Public Sector. Support for the Labour Party has grown in the aftermath of the Autumn Statement, a new poll reveals today.Aaron Chown. Like Toto the dog pulling back the wizard's curtain, the rancorous and increasingly risible leadership contest is exposing rifts within the SNP as never before; instead of revealing a kindly old . . One Labour MP described Alli as absolutely lovely and very persuasive. Referring to his status as one of the worlds only openly gay Muslim politicians, they added: You should never underestimate someone from his background who has fought that hard for LGBT rights.. What it shows is that these guys think Keir is going to win. Meanwhile, Sunak continues to trail Keir Starmer in most of the country on the question of which would be the better Prime Minister at this moment. Team Starmer will be watching the next few opinion polls very closely. The opinion polls have turned in the Labour leader's favour - vindicating his 'strategic patience'. The Lib Dems are on 13% with the Greens on 6%. Starmers reluctance to criticise Big Business or show solidarity with workers has shifted political ground in the UK even further to the right. Starmer has sacked one shadow minister, Sam Tarry, the partner of Labour deputy leader Angela Rayner, after Tarry declared that every worker should get a pay rise in line with inflation. Rishi Sunak today accused Sir Keir Starmer of "typical political posturing" in a fiery PMQs session. . Starmer has differentiated Labour simply by eschewing the more indefensible forms of predatory capitalism the current Conservative leadership embraces. He also had the shameless Johnson and the Faragiste Tory press bursting to make trouble. standard.co.uk - Miriam Burrell 5h. Want to bookmark your favourite articles and stories to read or reference later? To me, Starmer is hyper-competent as a manager and organiser. Labour leader Keir Starmer has demanded the Covid inquiry release findings by the end of the year amid fresh criticism of former Health Secretary . And further underscoring how divorced she is from the public mood, Truss intends to reverse a planned rise in what is a historically low rate of corporation tax. Political Monitor. Gray, currently in a top job in the Cabinet Office, was tasked with investigating multiple reports of lockdown rule . Survey shows the party was associated with support of politically correct issues. The more he engages with people from the City, the more he feels comfortable with the vocabulary and the issues, a department head at an investment bank said. The MP for Bermondsey and Old Southwark was hit with a five-day suspension today ( Friday, March 3 ), for his drunken, expletive-laden rants in Stranger's Bar last year . However, many within Labours ranks found Starmers performance to be flat and criticised his line of questioning. Keir Starmer, leader of the Labour Party, speaks at the National Farmers' Union (NFU) conference in Birmingham, UK, on Tuesday, Feb. 21, 2023. . Last modified on Thu 2 Mar 2023 08.43 EST. Sunak sets out Northern Ireland trade deal to MPs as Labour vow to back agreement as it happened, Original reporting and incisive analysis, direct from the Guardian every morning. Like the Tories, Starmer sees the economy in terms of a battle between the incompatible demands of employers - the state and big business - on one side, and workers on the other. A moderate Labour MP said we cant be shy about raising money from private individuals, especially if they want to win big at the next election. Most voters in Britain dont have Europe or Northern Ireland on their minds anyway. Boris Johnson and Keir Starmer at the Platinum Pageant for the Queen in London. But allow some credit where it is due to Sunak. He added: Real grown-ups would actually get everyone back around the table, unite the party, pull the trade unions back on board, build up our war chest and then go on to win the general election.. New polling, conducted by Ipsos between 3rd-5th February, shows the public are more likely to apply several leadership traits to Keir Starmer than Rishi Sunak. He was at the center of a police investigation into the so-called cash for honors scandal in 2006, which saw claims that seats in the House of Lords were being offered in exchange for large unregistered loans to the Labour Party. Even as Labour drew level in voting intention polls in November, Starmer limped behind Johnson in the preferred prime minister polling. Labour MPs and party officials say the fundraising operation is far more professionalized than at any other point during Labours last 13 years in the wilderness. Correlations identify things people with a positive opinion of Keir Starmer are more likely to rate positively than the . Labour holds large leads over the Conservatives in each of our three tracker polls as the party most trusted on the economy, the NHS, and immigration. A source in the leaders office told me that, with Keir, the Labour Party has the strongest message discipline weve had in years. Keir Starmer. It also enjoys some electoral advantages over Labour. Keir Starmer is set to appoint Sue Gray, the senior civil servant who investigated the partygate scandal, as his chief of staff.. Gray, who has a fearsome reputation for probing ministerial misbehaviour and ethics concerns, has left her role as head of the Union and Constitution Directorate at the Cabinet Office and is soon expected to join Starmer's team. Starmer and Shadow Chancellor Rachel Reeves have met hundreds of executives over the past year in what has been called the salmon and scrambled eggs offensive a riff on Blair and his own Chancellor Gordon Browns so-called prawn cocktail offensive of the 1990s. Nobody wants to see industrial action that is disruptive.. Inflation, higher interest rates, energy price hikes and strikes ensured a grim winter. But among Labour voters, 65% were in favour, and 18% opposed. Perhaps Sunak should not be too readily dismissed as a caretaker who is seeing out time until Keir Starmer takes over. X. Labour ahead of Tories by two points, but Labours leader failing to make a personal breakthrough. The politicians listed below include: The following polls have asked people which leader they think would better handle the COVID-19 pandemic. His team say Starmers main task has been repairing the partys internal workings after the strife during Jeremy Corbyns leadership. IT'S a genuine poll result . Only England and Wales jurisdiction apply in all legal matters. But the problem runs deeper. Much as I detest Starmer and the current Labour Party he will likely win back the ugly racist Brexit gammons who voted Tory or Farage last election, he won't loose safe seats like mine, and he won't care if a few of the more comfortable and liberal Tory seats flip Lib Dem. While 50% of voters in Britain still see the Government Sunak leads as incompetent, the Governments net competency rating is only marginally lower now than it was in late January (down one point to -34%). But it remains to be seen whether the announcement of a deal with the European Union over the Northern Ireland Protocol will lead to a reversal in the Governments polling fortunes. The DUP was not allowed to hijack the launch and mobilise the European Research Group. The date range for opinion polls is from the 2019 United Kingdom general election, held on 12 December, to the present day. Plaid Cymru call on Mark Drakeford to sack health minister after damning health board report, Sir Keir Starmer defends appointing partygate investigator Sue Gray as chief of staff, Johnson allies claim partygate was 'a Labour stitch up' after Starmer appoints Sue Gray to top role. When asked who they blamed for the crisis, voters placed equal weight on Liz Truss (21%) and the war in Ukraine (21%). Starmer has experience that Blair didn't. Data are weighted. In a nationally representative poll taken August 26th to 29th, Keir Starmer leads Liz Truss by 10 points or more on: And also by 11 points for each of paying attention to detail (41% to 30%), being a capable leader (38% to 27%) and they are going to make the country a better place (35% to 24%). Sunak has had luck along the way. As February ends, the Prime Minister remains mired in an extended poll slump, while the Labour leader and his party continue to ride high. This represents a five-point jump for Labour when compared to polling carried out by the channel last week, and no movement at all for the Conservatives, who remain on 21% of the vote. But Levys comeback is not free of controversy. Second, it confirmed that he may be starting to steer the Tory party towards a more moderate and pragmatic place. BOOST for Labour and Keir Starmer after the Autumn Statement - GB News poll reveals, Nationwide hikes up mortgage rates again just weeks after promoting cuts. If Blairites are now on the rise once again in the Labour Party, what about the man himself? "However, at least then Labour could console itself that their leader was new and making a positive impression. In GB as a whole, the Governments net approval rating for its handling of these three issues now sits at -35% (down four points from late January), -49% (-7), and -39% (-3) respectively. Shadow Cabinet ministers have been urged to attend as many dinners with prospective donors as possible, with the leaders office sometimes pairing ministers with wealthy individuals. How Sir Keir Starmer's Labour would run a government From 'wealth' taxes to net zero, this is how the would-be PM may act should his party's huge opinion poll lead see them through an election Nicola Sturgeons departure has disarmed the Scottish separatist threat for a while.. Changes of this kind are not like electoral on-off switches. Some opinion pollsters ask voters which party leader they would prefer as prime minister: Liz Truss (Conservative Party) or Keir Starmer (Labour Party). Focaldata found that Starmer is regarded as more trustworthy than Johnson, better equipped to make tough decisions and more competent. The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Sin Berry and Jonathan Bartley, co-leaders of the Green Party from 4 September 2018 to 31 July 2021. Not least, he has shredded the pledges he made during his campaign for the Labour leadership, policy commitments he sold Labour members as evidence he would serve as the continuity candidate for his left-wing predecessor, Jeremy Corbyn. The head of the opposition has resolutely avoided offering any kind of vision for Britain, fearful it might be construed as vaguely socialist, and has even been averse to robustly challenging the ruling Tory party. He has blamed ballooning debt from the Covid-19 pandemic as the reason. The health service has been on its knees. BMG are members of the British Polling Council and abide by their rules. After the loss of Hartlepool in a by-election in May and a clash with Angela Rayner, the deputy Labour leader, over the reshuffle that followed, he and his party seemed to suffer a crisis of confidence. The king played his symbolic role. 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Adam Drummond, Opinium's head of political polling, said: "Keir Starmer's ratings have taken a tumble as Labour voters begin to fear that he isn't the one to lead the party back to power. Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies. Levys return to the fold has also provided a big boost to Labours fundraising clout. Boris Johnson has been greedily eyeing a return. Johnson was comprehensively outmanoeuvred. Boris Johnson makes a better prime minister than Keir Starmer would despite Partygate, the cost of living crisis and the confidence vote in Johnson held by his MPs, according to the latest Observer poll. But the publics view of the the Labour leader himself appears to be becoming more negative, following weeks in which he has been accused of failing to be more forceful on the cost of living. Political Monitor. He has been Member of Parliament (MP) for Holborn and St Pancras since 2015. Some 75% approve of the government's handling of the vaccine rollout. Meanwhile, he has differentiated Labour simply by eschewing the more indefensible forms of predatory capitalism the current Conservative leadership embraces. Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt leaves 11 Downing Street, LondonJames Manning. He has lots of experience. He urged those in the session to make sure that as we go into that election and hopefully the other side of that election, we are saying the right thing in the right way about what we can achieve.. Having endured a torrid few months, Rishi Sunak is at least ending February on a personal high. The Labour leaders promises to team up with business may unsettle some on the left of his party, who are already worried about Starmers increasingly cosy relationship with the City. Truss is hampered by being deeply uncharismatic - possibly even more so than Starmer, and in stark contrast to her immediate predecessor, Boris Johnson. His website and blog can be found at www.jonathan-cook.net. But his U-turn looks all the more foolhardy given the current energy crisis and the Tory governments massive bailouts of suppliers. Sir Keir Starmer's decision to make Sue Gray his chief of staff proves he is a "man of the establishment" and will harm Labour's chances of winning the Red Wall, a former Conservative party chairman has claimed Sir Jake Berry said the appointment underlined that the Labour leader would run a . Collapse. Sir Keir had started to close the gap in April, pollsters Opimium said, but in a survey held on 13 and 14 May, he garnered just 23% support as preferred prime minister. The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Nicola Sturgeon, leader of the Scottish National Party and first minister of Scotland since November 2014. Keir Starmer, the leader of Britain's opposition Labour Party, has picked senior civil servant Sue Gray as his new chief of staff, Sky News reported on Thursday, as the party prepares for a national election next year. However, while Labour has an overwhelming lead on every major poll as a party, the popularity battle between Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer is far tighter. Neither Labour or the Cabinet Office denied a report by Sky News' that the Labour leader who current polls suggest could . Woman with cerebral palsy jailed after waving 77-year-old cyclist i Sadiq Khan sparks outrage after branding Britons' concerns about Ul Andrew Tate says he's 'seriously ill' as he seeks permission to lea Hunt set for last minute change to energy price cap which will save Britons hundreds of pounds. These signs of change should be watched seriously, because the Tory party has history as an election winner. The Labour Party has a 29 point poll lead over the Tories, according to a new survey which has provided a fresh boost to Sir Keir Starmer. But a third of those 2019 Labour voters now want Sir Keir to resign as party leader after mixed results in last week's elections - including a previously unthinkable by-election defeat in the traditionally safe seat of Hartlepool. But theres no sense of what the wider project is.. That amounts to a 10% swing to Labour since the election. Keir Starmer is finally ahead in the polls but at what cost? A poll by YouGov last week revealed 51% of voters say they would vote for Labour in a general election, with just 23% of people saying they would vote Tory. The Partygate investigator Sue Gray is a likely candidate to be Keir Starmer's chief of staff, as the Labour leader searches for a veteran civil . Through his public positioning, he has legitimised the rights discourse that left-wing politics is inherently subversive, unpatriotic and treasonous. An Opinium poll sees the Labour leader struggling to make headway against a PM whose handling of the pandemic has gained approval. His party trails Labour by more than 20 points in the polls. He is not. In recent months, trade unions have threatened to make further cuts to their funding, too. First poll of 2023 shows Rishi Sunak favourability at -29 . Although his approval rating in the Blue Wall fell two points in February to now stand at +6%, his rating in both the Red Wall (+14%) and GB (+13%) are up by six and four points respectively. GBNEWS. Search. Each pollster uses the following wording for this question: Some pollsters conduct surveys to compare figures who are not both party leaders. Starmer has transplanted many of Blairs favorite donor point-people into his close circle to build a powerhouse fundraising team. Under the British systems two-horse race, he reckoned he needed to do no more than position himself as the least bad option. Only 17% say a Conservative government with Rishi Sunak as prime minister. The damage done by the polarisation, recklessness, venality and destructiveness of the May-Johnson-Truss years casts long shadows that will shape the politics of this decade. A return to power-sharing at Stormont, with the DUP playing second fiddle to Sinn Fin, is a long way off. February was another good month of polling for the Labour Party and Keir Starmer, who ended January holding a 21% lead over the Conservatives. Yet Starmer found himself going backwards, as Labour sank gently in the opinion polls. Ursula von der Leyen, the European commission president, was well briefed. In addition to leading a party with a commanding position in our voting intention polls, Starmer himself holds healthy approval ratings in all our tracker polls. The 10-point gap has been roughly stable since June, with the resignation of Boris Johnson and the leadership election having no significant impact on the polls. Hopes for that encounter had been high following the confidence vote held by Tory MPs over Johnsons leadership, a move that left the prime minister deeply wounded with 148 voting against him. For most of the year, as the government enjoyed the protection against the illness of unpopularity afforded by a successful vaccination programme, it looked as if the forward march of Labour had halted. Latest news, analysis and comment on German politics and beyond. As people increasingly see through Johnsons bluster and feel the impact of his lack of decisions, weve created space to show that Keir is the serious politician needed for post-pandemic Britain., To keep up to speed with all the latest opinions and comment sign up to our free weekly Voices newsletter by clicking here. This was a fall of six points, while Mr Johnson saw his popularity climb by eight points to 40%. The man who would be Prime Minister addressed St. Columb's politics students and students from the . These are people that dont have to be spending their time and money doing this, a Labour shadow Cabinet minister said. The Opinium figures, which will raise further concerns within Labour over the party leaders performance, shows that the prime minister has a two-point lead over his opponent. Theres no complacency but we remain confident of the strategy we have to get Keir to No 10., Original reporting and incisive analysis, direct from the Guardian every morning. Starmer has refused to cash in on the most visible sign of growing public discontent at Tory policies that continue to redistribute wealth upwards. However, this has not had the desired effect. Why wont anyone tell me anything?. Some of the more detailed polling questions, which have given Johnson the benefit of the doubt all year, have also turned. A by-election caused by Ms Cooper's decision would be the first major electoral test for Liz Truss since she entered No10. Its 100-a-month business group the Rose Network has more than 500 members, up from 300 less than three years ago. Too soon for that. Starmers reluctance to criticise big business or show solidarity with workers has shifted political ground in the UK even further to the right. His internal opposition had largely given up and gone home, disgusted with the obvious distance he had put between himself and his predecessor, now not even a Labour MP. Prince Harry set to lose crucial royal role as bitter feud could se 'Whats up with government by WhatsApp? Overall, 57% of all voters support this, rising to 78% of Rishi Sunaks own voters. Starmer is determined to beat the Tories at their own game, vowing to fight the election on economic growth. He is also said to regularly chat with Starmer about the job of opposition leader and what to expect if he enters No. The Opinium figures, which will raise further concerns within Labour over the party leader's performance, shows that the prime minister has a two-point lead over his opponent. Sir Keir Starmer will deliver his conference speech today with the party in a commanding position in the polls (Picture: Metro/YouGov) Labour has hit an historic opinion poll high after a . Public opinion. Blair and some of his allies were caricatured as never being happier than when rubbing shoulders with Britains rich and powerful. It was the last bit that was telling, implying that there was no one around him who was prepared to bring him bad news honest feedback being a basic requirement of any functioning organisation, as Starmer would have known from running the Crown Prosecution Service. Either way, were these numbers replicated at a general election you would be looking at a solid Labour majority of 240-260 and only around 100 Conservative MPs in the Commons. In his party conference speech in which Corbyn supporters were reduced to impotent heckling Starmer derided Johnson as a trivial politician; in the Commons, Starmer repeated the line the joke is wearing thin. March 2, 2023. in News. It was a key insight to recognise that the DUP had overreached itself at the expense of the UKs wider economic and political interests, and was therefore in a weaker position than many assumed. Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer is trailing Boris Johnson as the British public's preferred prime minister by 17 percentage points, according to a new poll. The Labour leader said he is glad the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) is taking time to consider . Sat 11 Jun 2022 14.57 EDT. A poll released on the Monday of conference put Labour 17 points . The DUP is divided about how to respond, and enjoys the feeling of having Sunaks future in its hands. politics . This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. But he has made his own luck too. Leadership approval ratings Rishi . Another shadow cabinet minister agreed. Updated on 2 March 2023 at 8:00. Starmers approach is inflicting further damage on a political system already seen by a majority of voters as a rigged game in which their interests are always ignored. A backlash is coming. Voiced by artificial intelligence. Businesses arent altruists giving us all this money means that they will tend to want more movement towards the interests of business., Mandelson, meanwhile, told POLITICO Labour needs many more individual donors to compensate for the sums currently being withheld by hard-left controlled unions..
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